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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2008, 01:36:47 AM » |
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Dahl's Progression
Place your bets according to the following sequence: 5-5-7-7-10-10-15-15-25-25-35-35-50. Once you reach the top of the sequence, continue to bet 50. If you should happen to lose at any point, restart the sequence. (quit and revert any time you are even or when ahead by a comfortable margin - personal choice)
2 in 5
Place your bets according to the following sequence: 5-7-12-15-25. As soon as you win two bets in the series, or if you should happen to lose at 25, restart the series.
31
Place your bets using the following sequence: 1-1-1-4-8-16. Progress to the next number in the series if you lose. If you should win, however, double (parlay) this amount and bet again. If you should win again, restart the series. If you should lose, move up to the next number in the progression. Once you lose at 16, start the sequence over.
Fibonacci
Similar to the D'alembert, except instead of doubling or halving your bet each time, move up and down based on the following sequence: 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34-55-89-144-... Like the D'alembert, should you lose, move to the next number in the series. Should win you, fall back one number (or stay at that number then revert to base bet).
EXAMPLE: a progression of 4 losses and two wins (LLLLWW) leaves us at -1 -1 -2 -3 +5 +3 = +1, where we have lost twice as many bets as we have won, but still pocketed 1 unit, simply because we have won two bets in a row.
In a similar series where we do not win two in a row, but only 2 of 3 (LLLLWLW) we again restart the series, but this time out profit picture will be -1 -1 -2 -3 +5 -3 +5 = 0, where our 2 of 3 wins has neutralized the progression, and we start again at 1 unit.
And suppose we decided to play a 12-step Fibonacci, with our top bet being 144 units. Our total risk, which is the complete and utter loss of an entire series, is 376 units, or 1 +1 +2 +3 +5 +8 +13 +21 +34 +55 +89 +144 = 376. We can lose eleven bets in a row, (LLLLLLLLLLLWLW), lose a total of 232 units in a row, then win 144, lose 89, win 144 for a total loss of 33 units, less than 10% of our session money.
The odds against losing 11 bets in a row are the same as winning 11 bets in a row, 2047 to 1. And the odds against losing our whole series of 12 bets are 4095 to 1. You could use this system 365 days a year and expect 11 losses in a row every 5 ½ years, and a loss of a total series once every 11 years The problem with the Fibonacci is not safety, therefore, but the fact that approximately half of your wins will come at the very first level of 1 unit, making it a boring albeit profitable grind. In order to counteract this situation, some gamblers will begin their progression at the 4th or 5th level, and alternately move up or down as they win or lose, depending on their temperament and goals.
EXAMPLE: We begin with 5 units and win. We then move up the progression and win 8 units. We have won a total of 13 units and completed our Fibonacci objective of two wins in a row. Now we reduce our bet to 3 units, locking in a profit of 10 units if we lose it. But if we win that 3 units bet, our next is 5 units. The variations are practically limitless, and the safety level is very high. The Fibonacci is a great system for the recreational gambler, the grind player who wants a few enjoyable hours gambling without jeopardizing his mortgage, and the pro who wants to ease into his game before he gets serious.
To use the Fibonacci properly, a player must first memorize the progression, and then practice at home flipping a coin, until the bets are made automatically. It is a perfect system for all the even-chance games like Craps, Baccarat and Roulette, and can be easily modified into a money-management system for Blackjack and sports betting. It is also acknowledged as an excellent system for partners betting opposite each other. However you decide to employ this versatile progression, you will find fewer more powerful ways to win with as little risk.
O'Hare Straddle
Take out a very large short-term loan from any source that's available. Use all of it on a single wager save for enough to purchase a ticket to South America. If you win, pay back your debt and enjoy. If you lose, quickly flee the country with the money you saved for your plane ticket.
1-3-2-6
A very simple, straightforward betting system. Place bets based on the following progression: 1-3-2-6. If you should happen to lose, start over again at 1.
Paroli
Very similar to a reverse of the "Super Martingale". Reinvest your winnings plus add your original bet to the amount. For example, bet $5. If you win, bet $10+$5 = $15. If you should win again bet $30 + $5 = $35. If you should win yet again bet $70 + $5 = $75.
Regression System
This system is designed for use on even chance bets.
Concept
The idea behind the regression system is that every session starts with a wining bet and then builds on this foundation. You start by placing a 2 unit bet and if this wins you then reduce your next bet to 1 unit. By doing this your bankroll after the first winning bet will have increased by one unit whether or not you win the next bet. After your initial win you then increase the bet after every win by one unit, this means that you will not take a profit on the second win but after a number of consecutive wins you will start to rake in large amounts.
To compare how this system works against a series of flat bets I have set up a table that shows how your bankroll would fare if playing with $5 units
Winning Sequence Regression Flat Bet L -$10 -$10 W,L +$5 +$0 W,W,L +$5 +$10 W,W,W,L +$10 +$20 W,W,W,W,L +$20 +$30 W,W,W,W,W,L +$35 +$40 W,W,W,W,W,W,L +$55 +$50 W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L +$80 +$60 W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L +$110 +$70 W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L +$145 +$80 W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,W,L +$185 +$90
From this table we can see that the regression system needs to get a series of at least six consecutive wins in order to show a larger profit than flat betting. Sessions between two and five wins show a smaller profit, but the big advantage of this system is that you can ride out a losing streak (or even show a small profit if the streak is not too severe), and still make a killing when the luck turns your way.
The Catch
There isn’t much of a catch to this system. You are trading off medium run wins for wins of one run and wins of 6+ runs. Remember that the house edge will be working on all bets and not just your initial bet, and that when your bets get very large you are playing with your money and NOT the casinos.
Blackjack
This system can be used effectively on blackjack, but remember that you may need extra money to double or split the cards. If the casino you are playing at allows multiple splits with doubles then a very promising win can turn bad very quickly. Always use the correct basic blackjack strategy but if the stakes are getting too high then it may be wise not to split or double. You may even decide to take insurance if the bet is very large (something you should not normally do) and it’s the difference between a losing day and a winning day. (note. Over the long run you will be better sticking to basic blackjack strategy).
Conclusion
This system can be very effective if you have the patience to wait for the long runs. You can have some great pay off's and still be picking up small bets through the bad times to keep your bankroll topped up. It’s very nice when you start out on a series of bets knowing that your bankroll has increased, but equally unpleasant when you see a $100 bet lose. Although it will not alter the long term edge the casino has, this system can be very useful - Learn it!
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