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iamian
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« on: August 09, 2008, 05:13:39 AM »
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Hi there,
lets assume that you win 60% of your bets with 1,95 odds.
Would you use flat bet method or some light progression?  (for example D Alembert)
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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2008, 06:19:29 AM »
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Hi mate, it all depends on dispersion of bets, but if you hit 60%, then you are very experienced capper, and you should know that losing streaks of 8 and more arent so rare. But on the other hand, progression using D'Alembert with stopping on step 6 is one of the best progressions around. you could also try Oscar on paper, with odds close to 2, it shud be ok, but also with stop limit.
on 60% hit, D'Alembert shud give atleast 10% increase in bankroll monthly, which is good result, and if you place alot of bets with 60% success on odds of 1.95, then you can get even 200-300% increase each month easily.

You can run few series at once, but when you go to step 3, need to be more careful with picking bets, which reduces chances that you will reach 6th step. I will soon be able to post example of what im talking about.

Cheers, TP
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2008, 06:23:51 AM »
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Hi iamain

If you price your own selections and bet overs, then I suggest Kelly Betting, which is best explained here, http://www.puntingace.com/bettingguide/kelly.htm

But if you have some other way of selecting your bet, then I would bet a % of your highest bank and let the profits take care of themselves.

With a 60% s/r, you could still expect a run of outs of 14 or more, so keep this in mind if using a progression!
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