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Author Topic: Uk Premiership Betting using pattern recognition  (Read 513 times) Average Rating: 0
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djroulette
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« on: April 26, 2009, 01:11:00 PM »
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Hey Guys

I have recently turned away from roulette and am turning to sports betting. I am very interested in pattern recognition and after looking at results all from this season of Premiership football ad their are a lot of patterns forming. I have read many times that football is one of the better sports to bet as their is a lot of action happening on it in the uk. I just wondered if anybody had dabbled in uk football betting before and what were there experiences

many thanks

dj
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MATTJONO
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2009, 02:10:28 PM »
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hi djroulette I am a very big manchester united fan and do love betting on the english football leauge. I mostly bet on correct scorelines as they seem to have the best tends to look at.


MY IDEAS FOR BETTING

the most common scoreline is a 1-1 DRAW average odds 7/1.

there is a total of 20 teams in the football premiership, and im not sure exactly but I would say 99.9% that atleast 19 of the 20 teams in the premiership will always draw atleast one 1-1 DRAW during the season.   

20 teams.
38 games for each team per season.
7/1 odd average for a 1-1 DRAW.

...........................................................

we cover all combinations to bet on these scorelines

MANUTD TO WIN      1-0, 2-0, 2-1
LIVERPOOL TO WIN  1-0, 2-0, 2-1
CHELSEA TO WIN     1-0, 2-0, 2-1


there is a total of 27 combinations so a £1 stake would bet total bets of £27.  WIN £327 minumum
ALL average odds of 6/1 but if we play triples so the odds would be minimum 300/1.  and im sure that this will happen during the season.

......................................................

4 fold on draws = average odds of 80/1
5 fold on draws = average odd of 200/1
6 fold on draws = average odds of 600/1

......................................................



bolton to draw 3 of there last 5 games.

..................................................
manutd to win the premiership but get knocked out by arsenal in champions leauge both legs draw
..................................................




 Lips Sealed Lips Sealed Lips Sealed   as you can see after me blabbing on ...........    I basickly love betting on draws


mattjono





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djroulette
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2009, 02:41:59 PM »
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very interesting mattjono.

I have recorded all of the results every team has had this season looking at wins,draw,losses,home and away and trying to see where patterns are occurring eg tomorrow night

Portsmouth vs Newcastle

newcastle lost last game away to tottenham

the most common result this season when they have lost away then played at home is to either lose or draw.

portsmouth however lost there last game to Man U away and the most common thing to happen this season after they have lost away is to draw.

therefor my bet tomorrow night is for it to be a draw.

dont know if this works but I thought I would give it a shot

dj


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MATTJONO
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« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2009, 01:02:30 PM »
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hi d.jroulette,

if I was placing a bet on this match poutsmouth v newcastle I would bet on these 3 correct scorelines.

DRAW        1-1   average 7/1    £2 bet   could win £14
DRAW        3-3   average 50/1  £1 bet   could win £51
HOME WIN  2-1   average 7/1    £1 bet   could win £7

THESE SORT OF BETS MAKE EVERY GAME A GREAT GAME TO WATCH.

cheers,
mattjono


and djroulette I have a thew questions
1. what can I call you other than djroulette


2. is there a site or a faster way of recording all this seasons results for each team home,away,combined results. LIKE BELOW

HOME RESULTS. W,W,W,D,L,W,D,L,W,L,L,
AWAY RESULTS. L,L,W,D,D,D,D,L,W,L,W
COMBINED RESULTS L,D,D,D,W,D,L,W,L,L,W


cheers,
mattjono
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2009, 01:38:21 PM »
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Last season Ronaldo first/last goal scorer in each game.

This year Man Utd to win 1-0.

Remember the trend is your friend
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« Reply #5 on: April 27, 2009, 04:41:05 PM »
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Don't you ever consider venue/form/injured and unavailable players etc...

For example Fulham are flying yet they can't score away from home. That to me would be a big factor when betting.

Do you just play the odds?
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« Reply #6 on: April 27, 2009, 04:43:20 PM »
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"therefor my bet tomorrow night is for it to be a draw."

Newcastle 0-0 Portsmouth - good call!  Thumbs up

Cheers,
CD
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« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2009, 04:56:24 PM »
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Newcastle are gone for sure.

I took an 8/1 bet @ £100 before Shearer's first game that he wouldn't get any wins. May 11 is the pivotal date, when they play Boro. There are some interesting relegation odds around at the moment that might be worth a flutter.
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« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2009, 12:48:21 PM »
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Newcastle are gone for sure.

I took an 8/1 bet @ £100 before Shearer's first game that he wouldn't get any wins. May 11 is the pivotal date, when they play Boro. There are some interesting relegation odds around at the moment that might be worth a flutter.


nice one number6,

how good would it be if newcastle still havnt won under shearer when they play boro you could put £100 on newcastle to win, because its a no lose sistuation.

WISH YOU LUCK and newcastle BAD LUCK

(sorry all you newcastle fans)   Grin............. maybe one day manchester untied will end up in the religation battle............. Grin


cheers,
mattjono
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« Reply #9 on: May 08, 2009, 06:00:53 PM »
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Hello Everyone,

 Always look for 3 series, 7 series, 4 series, and 10 series. These numbers always stand out more then anything. For some reason the 3's have a major part in sports betting. Maybe, also look for ties back to back and see what happens after those 2 ties in a row. Just throwing things up in the air and thinking about it. I got something for all you to look at just to see the outcome. I don't have time to look into this. Look at hockey on a 3 game series for a system and tell me what you come up with? I always look at series, winning streaks, and losing streaks, and see what happens after looking at all those things. Don't worry about who's hurt, weather, and ect....Remember, past always repeats its self in sports and also makes history in some things as well. You are always looking for a streak of something and seeing if it will go the other way, after a streak. Very Important, money management is the 1st thing you must always do, before you find a great system that can be talked about for many years. Yes, you will have ups and downs, that's why it's called gambling, but if you have the best money management in place, then you will never worry about anything for each and every month when gambling. I cant stress enough on how many times or many years you need to go back on stats for any given sports. I always go back more then 14 -24 years on stats for sports betting. You will not get rich over night, it's about managing money right. Can a system fail, you damn right it can fail, but if you have money control and a great system, then that 1 time will not even make a difference. I do all my work on paper. I print all my stats out on paper and go through it with a pencil. I can get through almost all the stats for 14 - 24 years, then the system doesn't work at all. It takes allot of time and some times many years to develop a great system. I never take anyone's systems at all! I make all my systems from scratch and then copyright them as well. I also cover ever single angle to copyright the systems, so no one can even think of making a system off mine.
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