Even Chances - Law of Third vs Equalizing

[winkel]

Hi @ all,

The following is not a system nor even a betselection. It is just brainstorming.

I was thinking about the contradiction between two strategies on EC

One is to chase the equalizing short and long term
The other is seeking the Law of Third with EC

How can the Law of Third appear when there are only two chances of result?
So I transferrred it to this idea:

If one chance has appeared once the other chance should appear twice. (this is just a hypothesis)
But to bet on three spins to appear this constellation is boring. At least we are playing a figure (results are known)

So I thought how about to follow just a quote of 2:1 during the spins.
This leads to the following targets:

2:1
4:2
6:3
8:4
10:5
and so on.

On the other hand we always have to face that at every stage the tendency could change to equalizing

2:2
3:3
4:4
5:5

The idea is now to detect which tendency is alive or going on.

I took yesterdays Wiesbaden spins of Table 3

for a first explanation with real spins

pls see next post

[winkel]

by accident this perm is easily following my idea  

unfortunately I don´t know how to insert the attachment to the post  

I just only bet, when one of the constellations is possible.

Pls check and ask, if you don´t get the idea

br
winkel

[attachimg=#]

[winkel]

Pls note

This is only a first step to get you into it.

The situation of an equalizing is still missing.
also the situation of a changing between equalizing and 2:1

br
winkel

[MAX]

Great brainstorming Winkel!

This can be a good bet selecting method for even chance betting.

Thanks for taking the time to share this with us.

(Looking forward to your further explanations.)



Regards
MAX

[sniper]

Hello Winkel,

Thanks for sharing your great idea. Looking forward to learn more from you.

Regards

sniper

[winkel]

The situation of an equalizing is still missing.
also the situation of a changing between equalizing and 2:1

Such a situation is found if we check same spins but sorted up with Even/Odd

pls check if you understand my excel-sheet.

[attachimg=#]

[winkel]

As you can see (hopefully) we start with betting on Law of Third.
Then it changes to betting Equal (green spots)

on the other hand at the same point it changes from a 1:2 to a 2:1-situations. I mean the other chance is now heading forward.

[winkel]

The question I dídn´t find an answer yet:

Do I only select if a situation is cleary arising?
e.g. 3:8 ist heading to 4:8 or 8:7 is heading to 8:8

or is there a chance to bet that a fullfilled 2:1(1:2)-situation is heading to equalizing.


Your help and your opinion are appreciated

br
winkel

[Landis]

Isn't this gambler's fallacy?

[kav]

In my opinion it is more interesting and logical to bet when you have a 2:1 ratio. This is clear. And I could even think of a slow prog for it.

The "clearly arrising" thing is anything but clear. It's more like follow the trend, but not even that, since you bet on the less hit EC.

[Spike]

If one chance has appeared once the other chance should appear twice. (this is just a hypothesis)>>>

Does random ever obey these types of rules? If there were any concrete rules that applied to random outcomes, wouldn't it be easy to beat? Just asking..

[winkel]

In my opinion it is more interesting and logical to bet when you have a 2:1 ratio. This is clear. And I could even think of a slow prog for it.

The "clearly arrising" thing is anything but clear. It's more like follow the trend, but not even that, since you bet on the less hit EC.

Hi kav,

this will seem to be so, but these spins are just very clearly following the main idea.

I will find a much more difficult trot that will show more of the idea.

Due to my bad English I obviously used a wrong word by using "clearly arising".
I meant only to bet if there is a difference of +1/-1 to a target-situation-

7:8 or 8:7 bet for 8:8
11:24 or 24:11 bet for 12:24
12:23 or 23:12 bet for 12:24

But I think that later on, this could change.

of course it is a kind of trend-betting, but with try to explore the trend when it starts.

br
winkel

[winkel]

Here the spins of todays Wiesbaden Table 3 (Sep 5,)

Watch these two indicators (I just call them so despite of not knowing if they are ones)

1. Change from 1:2 to 2:1 (spins 5 and 8 )
2. Differences are far away from 2:1 or equalizing

green colour: prediction was right
red colour: prediction was wrong
yellow colour: predictions for both targets possible: no bet

br
winkel

[attachimg=#]

[MAX]

Hi

Winkle i used your numbers and rested the count after win .

The blue marked columns is were the reset points were.

Regards
Max

[VLSroulette]

Hello dear Winkel,

Thanks for staying at the productive side of the debate. Thumbsup! 

One piece of advice; you can place the [attachimg=#] tag where you want the image to appear within your post (he he, no, it isn't adding magically, some admins do the manual work of adding the [attachimg=#] tag on valuable posts like yours).

[VLSroulette]

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