System on repeat numbers

[Arteinvivo]

A system may be easy to play but really difficult to explain. This system takes advantage of repeat numbers by means of cold numbers by selecting my candidate numbers according to their level of coldity (can we say coldity ? Here are some results :
(Spins from Hamburg)

According to my preliminary stats the average length of a session hovers around 36 spins. The max length of a session tested here was 150 spins. Winning or losing after 150 spins the session was aborted.

I tested the strategy with my preferred progression. Instead of the usual payout of 35:1 I used this payout 52:1 so that when one of my numbers hit I get paid 52:1. Using this scheme you can extend the number of attempts but without constraining you to get your winning bets in a period of time which would be too short such as is the case using a parly or fibo or labouchère (labby). This progression gives the player more latitude than any other schemes.

Each line represents an attack or a game. The column "Spin count" represents the length of a session.

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Here is a complete demo :

We add numbers into our list of numbers to play by looking at their level of coldity. Each time a number hit, we look if its level of coldity is >= at the current level of coldity if it is then we add this number in our list.

The level of coldity at the beginning is set to 5 then each time a new number is added into our list of numbers to play we increase this level +5. After a win we reset our list of numbers.

This procedure has the effect to limit the quantity of numbers to back and also assure us we will always have a hit at some point.

Same picture but outside this frame
nolinks://i34.servimg.com/u/f34/11/75/07/03/comple10.gif

[Arteinvivo]

Here are some more explanations on this system hoping i won't mix you up even more deeply  [smiley=happy.gif].

Let's pretend we open the table at the beginning of the day and we don't have any historical past spins. A young girl approaches and she proposes to help you with your book keeping, unfortunately you must refuse her help as you'll need all your concentration. But nothing prevents you to give her your personnal card hey hey ! life is life.

OK, you do nothing until a number is spun. Since we open the table we need to wait at least 5 free spins. From spin 6 onward you'll use your mind to the max.  [smiley=lipsrsealed.gif]

The reason we need to wait for at least 5 free spins is because at the beginning of a new session the "level of coldness" is set to 5. To be considered candidate, a number should not have been spun during this lapse of time. Of course, such a short sleeping period of 5 spins means nothing but it is just a starting point. If we would not increase our level of coldness then we would select too many numbers and would increase our risk too much without improving our situation overall, i know as i did all kinds of permutations regarding this point. There is a trade-off to be made in order to select an optimal quantity of numbers to back and be able to reach a positive profit in a reasonable amount of time.

As soon as you have one number to play in your list you start to bet. You'll bet on every numbers you'll find until one of them hit.

After having found your first number, you'll increase your "level of coldness" by a value of 5 to set the level to 10. From this point onward, when a number is spun you'll look backward 10 spins to see if it has already been spun, if not then you'll add this number to your list. Once again, you'll increase the "level of coldness" by a value of 5 to set it to 15. From this point onward, when a number is spun, you'll look backward 15 spins to see if it has already been spun, if not then you'll add this number to your list. Once again, you'll increase the "level of coldness" by a value of 5 to set it to 20. Etc. etc. etc.

When one of the numbers in your list hit :
1) You stop because your profit is greater than 0. Your objective of +1 has been reached.
2) If your profit is negative then empty your list and build a new set of numbers, here you'll be able to use historical past spins. However, don't revert your "level of coldness" to 5 as in the beginning of a new session but just keep playing using the current level reached up to this point.

To limit collateral damages to a minimum, i have included a very tricky rule which makes all the differences. You'll notice that as your list of numbers grows it is done one number at a time, as this:

1 no
2 no's
3 no's
4 no's
etc.

How long does it takes to add or find a new number depends on the stream of datas. In general, it is not long but if it ever happens that while backing let's say 2 numbers we reach a count of 18 spins without finding a new entry then you'll empty your list immediately and start a new one (we still keep using the current level of coldness though). The rule is simple here, if you back 1 number you'll empty your list after 36 spins, with 2 numbers in your list if you reach a count of 18 spins without finding a new entry then again you'll empty your list. With 3 numbers to back, if you reach a count of (36/3) 12 spins without finding a new entry then again you'll empty your list. With 4 numbers you'll need (36/4) 9 spins without finding a new entry to reset or empty your list of numbers to back etc.

In all case, if you ever reach 150 spin during a session without being able to reach a positive profit then you abort your session winning or losing.

If you do all this, you'll give the Casino a tough fight.

Good luck

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[MattyMattz]

Hey Art,

how do you get 52:1 odds?

Cheers,
Matt

[Arteinvivo]

Easy, suppose you back just one number and have lost 52 times in a row. Your profit is -52. Then from this point you bet 2 units as if a win would recover 52 units. In other words, using the usual scheme and if you want to increase just enough to be in profit in one coup you would need to calculate your next bet using the usual payoff of 35:1. But if you use 35 x 1.5 rounded down then you would get a 52:1 ratio. If you would be paid that amount then you would not need to increase as rapidly as using a 35:1 ratio. So this scheme is just a way to increase your bet just enough to be in profit but it may take more than one winning bet. The nice thing is that your winning bets do not need to be back to back as is required by a usual parlay or even fibo or labouchère. You can handle more space between your winning bets without having to invest an arm and a leg.

[MattyMattz]

Cool Art,

very interesting approach, thanks.

Matt

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matty,

If you enter this macro in Excel you'll be able to calculate how much to place on each number covered if more than one :

Code:
Function howmuch_tobet(profit As Long, percentage As Double, qtyNumbersToBack As Integer) As Long
    Dim profitTarget As Long, minimumUnit As Long, baseBet As Long
   
    minimumUnit = 1
    If profit < 0 Then
   
        'calculate new baseBet for one number
        baseBet = Round((Abs(profit) / (Round(35 * percentage))) + 0.5)
        If baseBet < minimumUnit Then
            baseBet = minimumUnit
            Exit Function
        End If
        'take into account when more than one number is played
        Do
            profitTarget = profit - ((qtyNumbersToBack - 1) * baseBet) + ((Round(35 * percentage)) * baseBet)
            If profitTarget < 1 Then baseBet = baseBet + 1
        Loop Until profitTarget > 0
       
    Else
   
        baseBet = minimumUnit
       
    End If
   
    howmuch_tobet = baseBet
   
End Function

Example :

If you enter this :

debug.Print howmuch_tobet( profit := -111, percentage := 1.5, qtyNumbersToBack := 6 )
you'll get this : 3 units by number

debug.Print howmuch_tobet( profit := -52, percentage := 1.5, qtyNumbersToBack := 1 )
you'll get this : 2 units

debug.Print howmuch_tobet( profit := -35, percentage := 1.5, qtyNumbersToBack := 1 )
you'll get this : 1 units

But

debug.Print howmuch_tobet( profit := -35, percentage := 1, qtyNumbersToBack := 1 )
you'll get this : 2 units

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