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Testing G.U.T

Started by winkel, September 04, 2008, 04:10:41 PM

0 Members and 15 Guests are viewing this topic.

Lohnro

Quote from: Advantage.Player on October 17, 2008, 07:18:59 PMLastly how did you test it? Programmed a computer or did you actually play 2.5K sessions?

I have a mate who is a excel expert! I can paste the numbers or use the excel random numbers so 1 session takes about 30 seconds to test! There are a few bugs from time to time, so when they are ironed out I will post the spreadsheet in the downloads section!

Advantage.Player

Awesome!

If its 2 UPG profit that we make, you can live quite comfortably if you play 1 session every day....with $100 units! Or play more crossings.

Could the spread sheet play more crossings too?

See_Jerek

Quote from: Lohnro on October 17, 2008, 06:00:47 PM
This is a graph of my testing of GUT. This is SESSION TESTING. I have tested over 2500 SESSIONS consisting of no more than 60 spins and limiting losses to -60! Playing only 0vs1 and 1vs>1.

This is showing over 2 UPG (units per game)!





This is impressive![smiley=tekst-toppie.gif]

Lohnro

Quote from: Advantage.Player on October 17, 2008, 07:43:58 PMCould the spread sheet play more crossings too?

I have spoken to him about this. I will try for:-
0vs1
1vs2
0vs>1
0vs2
1vs>1
1vs2

Cheers

Kon-Fu-Sed

@winkel:

I see that some use a max loss...

F ex above "Limit losses to -60"...
Meaning BR = -50, next bet is 12 numbers = we can't make the bet??

You didn't mention it when we talked about the rules - is that not important?


Also: If a bet is lost and there is NO other crossing to bet: Do we re-bet?
(Up to a 36u loss)

Please reply soon.

TIA
KFS

winkel

Hi KFS

use my rules of the clinical test:

17-13 numbers rebet after loss = total bets 2
12-10 numbers rebet after loss 2 times = total bets 3
9-8 numbers rebet after loss 3 times = total bets 4

36/numbers=times to bet (use first number only; 3,5 = 3)

stop at >39
otherwise play till spin 50, no stopploss no limit

we rebet a crossing as lon as it is alive
15-14 moves to 15-13 stop betting
15-14 stays 15-14 rebet (once see above)
especially later in the spins when bet 0vs2 appear:
9-9 loss
9-9 loss
9-9 loss
9-8 loss stopp betting

9-9
9-8
9-7 stopp
9-8 (a 1 has hit) start betting max 4times again

hope that´s what you wanted to know

br
winkel




Kon-Fu-Sed


winkel

@lohnro

nice test.

is it an automatic test (partially coded) or do you watch and make decisions?

I tested a stop-rule
+40 and -40 it worked very bad
+40 and try to recover till spin 50 is nearly to the clinical rule ->
play every crossing til spin 50 without any other stop-rules

to what this enormous downswing is due I cannot discuss:
is it possible that it is because you play til spin 60?

Can try to explore that?

br
winkel

btw:
it has recovered, hasn´t it?



JHM

Quote from: winkel on October 18, 2008, 12:18:51 PM
Hi KFS

use my rules of the clinical test:

17-13 numbers rebet after loss = total bets 2
12-10 numbers rebet after loss 2 times = total bets 3
9-8 numbers rebet after loss 3 times = total bets 4

36/numbers=times to bet (use first number only; 3,5 = 3)

stop at >39
otherwise play till spin 50, no stopploss no limit

we rebet a crossing as lon as it is alive
15-14 moves to 15-13 stop betting
15-14 stays 15-14 rebet (once see above)
especially later in the spins when bet 0vs2 appear:
9-9 loss
9-9 loss
9-9 loss
9-8 loss stopp betting

9-9
9-8
9-7 stopp
9-8 (a 1 has hit) start betting max 4times again

hope that´s what you wanted to know

br
winkel





Winkel,

Do you advice any progression?

9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 9) Win
Total -9-9-9-8+35=0

9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 9) LOSS
9-9 (bet 18) Win
Total win -9-9-9-16+70=29




winkel

from the beginning I said: FLAT BET

See_Jerek

Quote from: winkel on October 18, 2008, 03:17:20 PM
from the beginning I said: FLAT BET

And that is the reason why I am impress with the results so far :)

Lohnro

Quote from: winkel on October 18, 2008, 12:24:30 PM
@lohnro

nice test.

is it an automatic test (partially coded) or do you watch and make decisions?

I tested a stop-rule
+40 and -40 it worked very bad
+40 and try to recover till spin 50 is nearly to the clinical rule ->
play every crossing til spin 50 without any other stop-rules

to what this enormous downswing is due I cannot discuss:
is it possible that it is because you play til spin 60?

Can try to explore that?

br
winkel

btw:
it has recovered, hasn´t it?




Hey winkel

It is an automatic test. All I need to do is load the numbers and record the result. No decision is made!

The massive drawdown in the middle I believe is nothing more than statistical variance, it more or less has to happen!

Tucktuckster

todays session was perfect.

just 38 spins in all and most crossings went first or second time. reached +195 and thought that was close to enough to my target of 200u to stop and so did.

why push things. it would have got to 200+ but spin 39 had no crossing so i can go wake my boy up and we can have a nice sunday afternoon.

so 3 session now on RNG. I think the key to this test could be if the rng still wins if the stakes are raised. I guess that will prove whether rng = fixed or whether rng = same as real wheel. thats another debate i know, but personally i do not see rng as slot machine that pays % but rather is same as real wheel but plays slightly differently.

I suspect that there is little point in me looking for tweaks in the way that i am now playing. I just need to sort out my spreadsheet. I hope this continues.

Thankyou Professor Winkel for your genius.

Herb

Why are you still testing this one?

KFS already tested it over a million trials.  He showed that it loses as expected at close to -2.7%

winkel

Quote from: Herb on October 19, 2008, 09:46:08 PM
Why are you still testing this one?

KFS already tested it over a million trials.  He showed that it loses as expected at close to -2.7%

He did it just to please you, that you can leave this topic with a smile on your face.

winkel

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