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PERFECT BLACKJACK STRATEGY

Started by Talesman, September 12, 2008, 04:04:45 PM

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Talesman

Found this on my HD.  I believe it to be freely postable.

Posted w/o comment.
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PERFECT BLACKJACK STRATEGY

This is my favorite. Also known as Oscar's Grind,
it can be used with all even money bets, including
Baccarat, Craps, Roulette and Blackjack.

I have won tens of thousands of dollars with this
system in the past. Because of it's conservation nature,
you won't ever "hit the jackpot", but your losses
will be minimized.

Not only that, over the course of several years of
gambling, you could establish a nice "retirement
fund"!

Properly managed, it wins many more table sessions
than it loses. It often wins even when losing bets
outnumber winning ones. It works most satisfactorily
when the betting unit is not more than 2 or 3 percent
of the sum that the player is prepared to lose at the
particular table session.

Thus, a $5 betting unit should be backed by a readily
available fund of not less than $250.

As usual, the player should be content to discontinue
the session when winnings are half or less of the alloted
capital.

The $5 betting unit would call for a stop-gain limit
of $100 or $125.

The celebrated gambling mathematician, Dr. Allan N. Wilson,
introduced the system in his immensely informative book,
The Casino Gambler's Guide (see additional details in
Appendix A).

Wilson reported that Julian Braun, the foremost computer
analyst of gambling probabilities, had found that a
player who used the system on even-money Craps wagers
with a betting unit of $1 would risk reaching a $500
house limit no more often than once in 4,250 sessions.

It stands to reason that someone whose own loss limit is
considerably short of the house's maximum bet would be
quite secure. And that is how this system seems to work
out in real life. When making $10 bets with a stop-loss
of $400 and quitting when $200 ahead, I have paid -- thanks
to Oscar -- for more than one trip to Caribbean and
Nevada casinos. I win about three sessions in every four.

The originator of the system, a weekend Craps shooter,
undescribed except as Oscar, told Wilson that he had never
left Las Vegas as anything but a winner. The probability
was enormous that he would lose someday and that the
average loss (as Julian Braun found) would be upward of
$13,000 when bucking a $500 house limit. But as I keep
saying, no reason exists to play that way. The personal
stop-loss and stop-gain are powerful allies.

Enough of this suspense. The system probably is an off-shoot
of the D'Alembert. The goal of each series of bets is a
profit of one betting unit. When that profit is in hand,
the player pockets the chip and begins a new series.
When the number of pocketed chips equals the prescribed
limit on gain, the player cashes in and takes a recess.

The first bet in each series is one unit.

If it loses, the next bet is also one unit and the player
notes that a loss will now bring the deficit of the series
to two units. After a loss, the next bet is always the
same size as the bet just lost.

When a series is losing, proceeds of a successful bet are
not pocketed but the next bet is increased by one unit.

No bet ever is larger than may be necessary to end a series
with a profit of one unit.

To illustrate, the player loses the first five bets in a
series, and is now five units behind.

The next bet of one unit wins, leaving the series four down.

The bet after that is two units (pursuing the principle of
increasing the bet by one unit after a win).

If that loses, the series is down by six. The next bet is
two (the principle of not modifying the bet after a loss).

If that bet wins, the series is down four and the next bet
is three (the formula increase of one unit).

If that bet wins, the series is now down one unit and the
next bet is not increased.

As stated earlier, no bet is ever large enough to net a
series profit of more than one unit. In this example,
the next bet is two -- to convert a loss of one into a net
gain of one.

If it loses, the series is now down three and the bet remains
two. If that wins, the series is back to one down and the
formula requires a bet of two to put everything into the
black by one. The profit goes into the pocket and a new series
begins with a bet of one unit.

When things go well at Craps, Baccarat, or Blackjack, this
system may win its per-session quota in a very few minutes,
depositing the player at a crossroads. You did not travel
all the way to the casino to quit after a quarter of an hour.
On the other hand, you are sworn to quit when moderately
ahead. To resolve the dilemma and strengthen the all-important
sense of mastery, get up from the table and take a walk or a
drink. Resume play later, preferably with a new loss limit
no higher than the amount that you have just won. If you
lose it, you have simply handed the casino's money back,
but you have squandered none of your own.

Sometimes losing bets and winning ones come in short clusters
that pretty much balance each other.

Again, Oscar can be counted on to win, but it will take longer.
And, of course, occasions arise when Oscar plunges deep into
the red.

As the researches of Julian Braun have demonstrated, the
procedure can almost always bail itself out. But I believe
that this takes too long, risks too much, and, in any case,
is likely to bring the conservative player to the stop-loss
limit.

Once again, temptation arises.

If the system is so dependable, and the probability of ruin
so slight, why not press on?

One answer is that recreational gamblers are not at their
sharpest when fatigued. Neither do they enjoy themselves in
that condition.

For that reason, I think it is a mistake to let an Oscar
series even approach the per-session stop-limit. Instead,
I prefer to terminate any series as soon as (a) it is more
than 10 units down and (b) a loss on the next bet would
leave it 20 units down.

Interestingly enough, this state of affairs may be reached
when one has already pocketed 20 or more winning chips.

To terminate the poor series and either take a walk or start
an entirely new series is extremely advantageous.
If the pattern of table play changes, as it does so frequently,
one may soon find the profit pocket bulging and the gain
limit at hand.

berlinerbruce

Hi talesman, mate of mine plays blackjack and is a bit of a HIGHROLER he replied to me after i informed him of your system that it was far to risky. Have you tested this out or do you have any comments. ;) BERLINERBRUCE

Talesman


I posted w/o comment because I am not a BJ player.  It isn't my game of choice.  I found it when I was putting my backup files on my new HD.

I never tested it.  The only software I have is for counting practice and I have another only for perfect strategy practice.  Can't make bets with either one of them.  Let me correct that.  I used to have that software until I reformatted my drives.  Have no idea if I still have a copy to put back on.

Got any recommendations for BJ software where you can actually play and bet other than Hoyle or Reel Deal?



MattyMattz

Hey guys,

I used to have a good blackjack software program.  Lemme see if I can find it.


MattyMattz

You can look into Casino Verite BJ 3.01... just google it.  If I remember correctly it is shareware... 20 or 40$ to purchase.  Has practice setup, with cardcounting tables and lots of other features I didn't use... lol.  But it did the trick.

Matt

Talesman


I got it, thanks.

Played it for a while.  I am up over $1200. 

Now why, oh why, can't I do that in a real casino????



Just_Gabe


Jish

Quote from: Just_Gabe on June 09, 2009, 11:02:44 AM
wow, that stuff works? ;D

Does it still work 6 months later, are you retired?

Phishalot

The Oscar Grind is my favorate progression system. When I get in trouble this is what I use to get me out. Just like to make a suggestion on the bankrolls. I set my bankrolls at (50 units*(Rounded up Casino Vig * 100) IE In Baccarat it would be 50 units * .02 * 100= 100 unit bankroll. Do not use the grind against any game that has more than a .03% vig. There for it works against single 0 wheels and not against 00 ones.

Joker

can you really explain how you play...

oscar grind system... thank you so much

I play baccarat.. just putting on banker without comission game .. you think this is good?

my local casino charge $1 for each play and no commission ... would this work?

Phishalot

I have never baccarat with a rake, you would need to figure out the vig%.

As for Oscar grind itself it works like stated above. You play the same size unit until you win, then increase by one unit. You continue to do this until you have one unit profit. Here are some examples.

BET   UNIT   RESULT   W/L   PROFIT   
B   1   P   L   -1   
P   1   P   W   0   
P   1   P   W   +1   END
               
P   1   P   W   +1   NO PROGRESSION

BET   UNIT   RESULT   W/L   PROFIT   
B   1   P   L   -1   
P   1   B   L   -2   
B   1   P   L   -3   
P   1   P   W   -2   
P   2   P   W   0   SET NEXT BET TO WIN +1
P   1   P   W   +1   END


BET   UNIT   RESULT   W/L   PROFIT   
B   1   P   L   -1   
P   1   B   L   -2   
B   1   P   L   -3   
P   1   B   L   -4   
B   1   P   L   -5   
P   1   B   L   -6   
B   1   B   W   -5   
B   2   B   W   -3   
B   3   P   L   -6   
P   3   B   L   -9   
B   3   B   W   -6   
B   4   B   W   -2   BET TO WIN +1
B   3   B   W   +1   END
               
               
These are some of the most commen situations. There are many more and some are really scary. Make sure you have a loss limit in place. I like to play for 20 units and have a stop loss of 40 units. Usually you will win 4 to1 games. Two game losses do happen in a row, but three in a row is rear.               

Natural9

the WLWL scenario can hurt allot i guess and like you said can get scary unless I am sure in my bet selection  I not sure I could have the pluscoup is another one similar looks good on the surface but can get scary too

Joker

What type of bet selection should we use?


Phishalot

I use follow the shoe. I do not think it matters as long as you are comertable with what you are doing.

Phishalot

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