Variations on patterns distribution and combination

[Arteinvivo]

[colorsb]
Calvin6688 on GG, mentionned something about pattern distribution which I have begun to incorporate in my strategy.

What I like about this idea is the fact it offers new angles to consider and I think we are all here to get this little something more to think that can only be had by sharing and discussing intelligently.

I am about to talk about a pattern tracking method that offers a winning frame of reference and the beauty of it is that it's extremely easy to track and very powerfull.

Calvin6688 wrote: In a game of Baccarat Shoe, if it is disected into blocks of [5] we would deal with 32 patterns.

Here are these 32 patterns or 2^5 combinations:

01 BBBBB
02 BBBBP
03 BBBPB
04 BBBPP
05 BBPBB
06 BBPBP
07 BBPPB
08 BBPPP
09 BPBBB
10 BPBBP
11 BPBPB
12 BPBPP
13 BPPBB
14 BPPBP
15 BPPPB
16 BPPPP
17 PBBBB
18 PBBBP
19 PBBPB
20 PBBPP
21 PBPBB
22 PBPBP
23 PBPPB
24 PBPPP
25 PPBBB
26 PPBBP
27 PPBPB
28 PPBPP
29 PPPBB
30 PPPBP
31 PPPPB
32 PPPPP

In order to ease the process of tracking these 32 patterns we need to consider them by pairs. For example, lets consider the first two:

01 BBBBB
02 BBBBP

If we remove the last hand in each of these patterns we get this:

01 BBBB| <- last B removed
02 BBBB| <- last P removed

Seen this way, it becomes evident that we can get rid of one of them and just keep BBBB.

If we do this with every pair we end with this list:

01 BBBB
02 -
03 BBBP
04 -
05 BBPB
06 -
07 BBPP
08 -
09 BPBB
10 -
11 BPBP
12 -
13 BPPB
14 -
15 BPPP
16 -
17 PBBB
18 -
19 PBBP
20 -
21 PBPB
22 -
23 PBPP
24 -
25 PPBB
26 -
27 PPBP
28 -
29 PPPB
30 -
31 PPPP
32 -

or more concisely:

01 BBBB
02 BBBP
03 BBPB
04 BBPP
05 BPBB
06 BPBP
07 BPPB
08 BPPP
09 PBBB
10 PBBP
11 PBPB
12 PBPP
13 PPBB
14 PPBP
15 PPPB
16 PPPP


I use this list of 16 patterns to track the original 32 patterns.

Here is 23 hands and one possible way to chase these 32 patterns.

23 decisions with W/L bets:

01 P
02 B
03 B
04 B
05 B
06 P
07 P
08 P
09 B
10 P
11 B
12 B
13 B
14 P -1
15 P +1
16 P +1
17 B
18 B -1
19 B
20 B
21 P +1
22 P +1
23 P +1


The betting scheme in that sequence is to note each group of 5 hands as they occur and bet they will repeat.

Here is how to track them:

Note the last four hands of B/P, find the corresponding pattern in the reduced list of 16 patterns, wait for the next outcome and write P/B beside it. Repeat these steps : Note... Find... Wait... until you find an opportunity to bet. Here is the complete table at the end of these 23 hands.

01 BBBB P P
02 BBBP P P P
03 BBPB
04 BBPP P P P
05 BPBB B
06 BPBP
07 BPPB
08 BPPP B B
09 PBBB B P-
10 PBBP
11 PBPB B
12 PBPP
13 PPBB B
14 PPBP B
15 PPPB P B-
16 PPPP

Let's revisit these decisions. Take the first pattern in the reduced list: 01 BBBB

Look at hand #06 in the series of 23 hands. We have a P at that spot and we have four B preceding this hand so the complete pattern is BBBBP but I note it as one single P after 01 BBBB P. Later on in the series of 23 hands, at position #21, the same pattern repeats but prior to its completion at position #20 I knew the starting pattern BBBB had hit before and was followed by P. Using the reduced list of 16 patterns I can easily track the frequency of these patterns as they emerge from the shoe. It's like following 16 independant different streams.

Here is how I proceed to play these patterns that repeat. My hypothesis is that sooner rather than later one of these patterns should repeat simply because in all chaotic systems events tend to clump together or form clusters. We rarily see all these patterns hit one after the other in alternation for long period of time. The idea is to take advantage of this.

So we track them as explained above by writing P or B in the reduced list of 16. We look at the last four hands on a rolling basis and When one of them is on the verge to complete we look in the list what hand hit after this emerging pattern and bet it will repeat on the next hand. When I miss one attempt as it happened above (at two different times) for a given pattern, I disregard this pattern until the end of this attack, I consider it as not playable anymore. If you look at the tracking table at row 09 and 15, I have placed a minus sign at these two spots meaning I would disregard these two patterns from this point onward.

When you have accumulated four minus sign in your table, you start a new attack. In other words, you zap or reset your tracking table and start a new fresh attack.

However, the real fun begins and the full power of this approach emerges when you track in parallel 2^3, 2^4 and 2^5 patterns this way. When you do this, you end with 3 tracking tables like this:

-------------------
2^3 tracking table:
-------------------

eight patterns:

01 BBB
02 BBP
03 BPB
04 BPP
05 PPP
06 PPB
07 PBP
08 PBB

Reduced list:

01 BBB
02 -
03 BPB
04 -
05 PPP
06 -
07 PBP
08 -

Tracking table 2^3:

01 BB
02 BP
03 PP
04 PB

-------------------
2^4 tracking table:
-------------------

sixteen patterns:


01 BBBB
02 BBBP
03 BBPB
04 BBPP
05 BPBB
06 BPBP
07 BPPB
08 BPPP
09 PPPP
10 PPPB
11 PPBP
12 PPBB
13 PBPP
14 PBPB
15 PBBP
16 PBBB

Reduced list:

01 BBBB
02 -
03 BBPB
04 -
05 BPBB
06 -
07 BPPB
08 -
09 PPPP
10 -
11 PPBP
12 -
13 PBPP
14 -
15 PBBP
16 -

Tracking table 2^4:

01 BBB
02 BBP
03 BPB
04 BPP
05 PPP
06 PPB
07 PBP
08 PBB

-------------------
2^5 tracking table:
-------------------

-See beginning of this post

You can keep track of all these combinations 2^5=32, 2^4=16, 2^3=8 or 56 patterns by simply looking at three insignificant tables and writing B or P or R or B at roulette. This is just mind blowing the possibilities there are in there.
[/colorsb]

[Arteinvivo]

Winning on both sides of the equation:
One side follows the last pattern while the other follows the opposite.
When there is a lost in one column it is disregarded until the end of the attack.
When all 4 columns of this 2^3 combinations are disabled a new attack is launched (a line is drawn when all 4 columns are disregarded)

[Arteinvivo]

Here is another example:

[VLSroulette]

Arty, my mate, thanks for posting again.

We missed you

Truly hope something good comes out of this one.

Your friend,
Victor

[Arteinvivo]

Thanks Vic, i should have come back and say hello much sooner. BTW,  have a peaceful and a prosperous new year!

[Arteinvivo]

To play this version you'll need this 2^3 tracking table:

01 BB
02 BP
03 PP
04 PB

[Arteinvivo]

Now let's play the same hands but instead of targeting repeat patterns I'll target patterns that zigzag or alternate:
Remember, when i fail one attempt on a given pair of patterns, i disregard that pair until the next attack is launched.
I identify those pairs which have been rejected with a red circle.


This last idea with 2^3 combinations can be used on the other ones 2^? namely 2^4 and 2^5 combinations. As I said, the possibilities are infinite and this is just one idea. Imagine combining not just 2^3..2^5 but also 2^6, 2^7, 2^8. Why not, the sky's the limit.

[Arteinvivo]

Here is another variation based on this frame of reference i have presented so far.

This time, i'll be using 2^4 combinations, i.e., 2x2x2x2=16 combinations in all.

This new variation is optimised to capture a specific type of pattern which tend to come out in an orderly fashion. It is very good to exploit these fugacious moments of balance between orderliness and unpredictability. Some name these type of patterns - elegant patterns.

[Arteinvivo]

New test on a real shoe :

[Arteinvivo]

Another true Shoe a comrade sent:

[Arteinvivo]

[sniper]

Hello Arte,

Thanks for your brilliant idea.I can follow the first part, it's well explained.
I can't figure out how to place the bets on the elegant pattern part.
Could you be kind enough to explain regarding placing of bets on the elegant pattern.

Thanks and regards

sniper

[Arteinvivo]

Hello Sniper,

Over the holidays period, I have been toying with these ideas now it's back to business. I won't have much time to explain the details. As soon as i can i'll try to post something. There are so many cool things we can do with these ideas. I'll apply some of them to the Forex market and see how they perform. You are the first person to post here beside Vic for a moment i thought this section was dead.  Have a prosperous 2009.

[Arteinvivo]

Here is a new update and improvement i did to the original idea:

This is just a small portion analysed from a set of more than 6000 hands coming from real shoes i got from a player:

[sniper]

Arte, thank you very much. Wish you success in your forex challenge. I strongly believe you are heading in the right direction. I used to trade the futures,stock indexes and the currencies from 1980 to year 2000.I only used technical indicators and nothing else till my retirement in year 2000.

Best wishes and be hearing from you again.

sniper

[sniper]

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