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Are eclipses of the moon more regular than elegant patterns ?

Started by Arteinvivo, January 07, 2009, 06:20:01 PM

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Arteinvivo

Are eclipses of the moon more regular than elegant patterns ?

Here is my take on this fascinating subject…

When I first began to look at patterns, I did it in order to distinguish between periods of ORDER versus periods of DISORDER in a binary stream of data. Such a binary stream can come from bank/player at Baccarat, red/black at roulette, pass/don’t pass at craps or up/down in price movement.

It did not take too long to discover we could use patterns to discover these elegant patterns. Those patterns composed of sub-patterns that exhibit symmetry. This is my definition of elegant patterns.

In short, an elegant pattern is a series of small patterns linked together. The link can be as complex as we can imagine but for the end of this discussion, I’ll use a very basic link. A link represents a relationship between two or more sub-patterns. By using such a generic definition, we can find every possible elegant patterns that ever existed or will ever emerge in the future. Once an elegant pattern is detected not too long after its birth, riding it can give the player a really good return on his wagers.

Elegant patterns may not be the final solution to beat the game but it will make you more good than bad if used with parsimony and judiciously. And contrarily to what some think, they are not that rare. In fact, there is almost always an elegant pattern in every shoe of Baccarat. The trick is to use the right paradigm to detect it. There is no single best way to play a game of chance. What's best is what gets you going and builds momentum for the journey ahead as each game is different. OK, enough philosophy…

What about if I told you that by riding elegant patterns, I could end this short sequence of 63 hands of Baccarat at +27 units where 32 bets have been won versus 5 losses.

Here is the sequence:
P,P,P,P,P,P,P,P,P,B,B,B,B,B,B,P,B,P,B,P,B,P,B,P,P,P,B,P,P,P,B,P,P,P,B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P,B,P,P,B,B,P,B,P,P,B,B

Of course, I have crafted this set of hands to illustrate how effective the technique can be.

Here are some more hypothetical cases :

Streaks
P,P,P,P,P,P,P,P,P,B,B,B,B,B,B

Singles alternating
B,P,B,P,B,P,B,P,B,P

Micelleneous patterns exhibiting symmetry
B,P,P,P,B,P,P,P,B,P,P,P,B,P,P
B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P,P,B,B,P
P,B,B,P,B,P,P,B,B,P,B,P,P,B,B
Etc.

In the micelleneous paragraph, I could have produced a longer list as there are an infinite number of combinations of patterns exhibiting symmetry. Those are just a small subset of what can be tracked.

As elegant patterns are composed of small patterns, I’ll use 2^4 combinations or 16 sub-patterns to track elegant patterns.

Here they are (16 patterns):
01   BBBB
02   BBBP
03   BBPB
04   BBPP
05   BPBB
06   BPBP
07   BPPB
08   BPPP
09   PPPP
10   PPPB
11   PPBP
12   PPBB
13   PBPP
14   PBPB
15   PBBP
16   PBBB


Using Excel and putting those patterns in sixteen columns respectively, we can more easily visualise inner relationships that exist between them, which is tough to see otherwise. If you look closely at pairs of consecutive patterns (2/16), you will see they tend to come out and repeat using the same relationship or the same order. Here are the same hands but seen in Excel :



Now, here is how I select where to bet at every step:



Charlie201

Hi Arte , I like your idea ,I have a question on the second row . On the first row where you have the first entry of 4  pppp , it seems that would constitute a bet on the second row of 4 pppp ,since you have a prior pattern on the first row .  Also ,I wonder  if  you could back test to get some results how well it holds up .You could also have  a finite goal with stop on wins and losses , or  try a small progression. Thanks Arte , good to see you sharing your ideas again .   Charlie

Arteinvivo

QuoteOn the first row where you have the first entry of 4  pppp , it seems that would constitute a bet on the second row of 4 pppp ,since you have a prior pattern on the first row

No, it does not work like this. Read dot #3 again, i wrote:

the current emerging pattern formed of three hands, here PPP? is preceded with PPPP (the first pattern) but this first pattern (PPPP) has no pattern preceding it so i need to wait one more hand before beginning to play. The rule is simple: note the last three hands, locate in which zone it falls, find if the zone has had a similar pattern of three hands before if yes then is this pattern preceded with the same complete pattern if yes then bet the same as the last hand in this preceding pattern.

This is more complex to describe than to execute.

Arteinvivo

QuoteAlso ,I wonder  if  you could back test to get some results how well it holds up

It is really really good but if played on a continuous basis, somewhere it will fail as this is the nature of the beast. Remember, i wrote it must be played with parcimony and judiciously. Use it to detect moments of order vs disorder. Winning is mostly an art and not a precise science. See this procedure as another tool in your arsenal.

Arteinvivo

Here is the easiest way i found to describe how to detect and play elegant patterns.

The idea is simple so tighten your belt, strengthen your mind.

Here is a series of hands for the game of Baccarat :

P
P
B
P PPB/P
P PBP/P
B BPP/B
P PPB/P
P PBP/P
B BPP/B
P PPB/P
P PBP/P
B BPP/B
P PPB/P
B PBP/B

Let's work with a few lines only:


P
P
B
P PPB/P
P PBP/P
B BPP/B
P PPB/P
?

We want to know what to bet at the '?' mark B or P.

To know what to bet (B/P), we note the last three hands: PBP

We also note the complete pattern on the same line where is located the last hand P : here we have PPB/P

So, we have two patterns to work with at each new hand, i.e., an incomplete pattern formed with the last three hands and a complete pattern formed with the last four hands.

Let's update our table with what we know up to this point:

P
P
B
P PPB/P
P PBP/P
B BPP/B
P PPB/P <- complete pattern
? PBP/? <- incomplete pattern

Once we have identified these two patterns (complete/incomplete) we search them within the previous set of patterns we have.
They need to have hit in the same order.

SEARCH IN PROGRESS...

P
P
B
P PPB/P <- complete pattern found
P PBP/P <- incomplete pattern found
B BPP/B
P PPB/P
? PBP/?

Finally, ask yourself what hand did hit after the previous instance of the incomplete pattern we found ? P or B ?

Here the asnwer is P so we repeat the past and we bet on P where is the ? mark.

Simpler than that you die.

Arteinvivo

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