…a quick word on: FORMULAS

[Number Six]

...a quick word on: FORMULAS

Formulas, which may be known as predictor variables in this context of analysing numerical data, will enable the method to monitor the state of the spins and then guide the player towards the right time to bet, and also indicate what the bet should be.  When the formula discloses the appropriate conditions, the method becomes fully operational to exploit imminent events – events that will happen (namely changes in trends and sequences, and the second arrival of numbers that have already hit once in the interval being played).  Depending on the robustness of the formula and how aggressive the attack is will determine whether or not progressions are required.  Formulas do not have to be complex, in fact they should be simple enough to follow and process by the human brain...unless they can be handled by tracking software for online play, in which case they can be made a little more intricate.

Ultimately formulas inject substance into attacking tactics.  And when an assault is not advisable or permitted, the formulas will offer natural defence.

Sun Tzu said: He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.

Feel free to discuss formulas in this thread.

[Spike]

Regardless of the amount of trials conducted the statistics will always illustrate that in an interval of 37 spins an average of 24 numbers will arrive.>>

Never forget, this is an ongoing phenomena. You are always looking at the past 37 spins no matter where you are in the process. Add a spin and take one away from the end of the string. At any given point you will have 12 numbers or so that are not hitting.

It doesn't matter that it doesn't hold up exactly over a million spins. Run off a million for R/B and you will see its not even close to 50/50, one of them will be far ahead of the other.

[Number Six]

Yes it is ongoing, so it is exploitable.

And you don't have to look at any past spins. You can sit down at any table and start tracking from any spin at any time, the Law will always manifest itself beginning on every new spin. You could track 10 spins, get a phone call, come back to the table and start over from scratch on what would have been the 15th spin. The sequences of spins will always overlap and you don't have to play for exactly 37 to make use of this phenomenon. This is the point people miss.

[Tangram]

The trouble is that in a game of independent trials, a predictor variable has no predictive value. All any formula can do is tell you what will happen on average, over many spins. This isn't much help for choosing your next selection, or even sequence of selections. I'm happy to be proved wrong.

[Number Six]

By nature the results of each spin are random and unrelated, it is true, but in the short-term those results will create two quantities of numbers that are entirely dependent on each other...that is to say numbers that are hitting/repeating and numbers that aren't hitting. As the quantities begin to even out and we analyse the results, we will come to a point where we realise that it's opportune to bet on the value of one of the quantities changing at that particular moment in time.

A formula isn't a formula in the traditional mathematical sense. Yes, as we are dealing with numerical data, it has a mathematical feel about it and could strictly-speaking be considered a predictor variable as we are analysing two different quantities, but it is really a set of rules that work in conjunction to expose betting opportunities, helping us to solve the problem of bet selection. The first rule reveals when, judging by statistical averages, the conditions are right to place a bet, the second rule decides what to bet on and the third rule for how long. A formula can be viewed as the method's in-game tactic and part of the grand strategy.

Regarding averages...we're not interested in averages over many spins, those sorts of figures render the Law worthless. There is no anomoly we can exploit in normal distribution. We should only be concentrating on what happens in the very short-term, from interval to interval.

[Tangram]

OK N6, I see what you're saying. So really a formula is a system.  But it seems to me that there is a contradiction here, because on the one hand you say:

The first rule reveals when, judging by statistical averages...

and then:

We're not interested in averages over many spins...

If we use statistical averages to find out when conditions are right, then surely those conditions can't be trusted if averages render the law worthless (which "law" are you referring to here?), or have I misunderstood?

[Number Six]

Tangram,

I'm glad you've taken an interest. The phenomenon in short-term distribution really is worth exploring.

About formulas...
Formulas make up a method (which can incorporate a fully or partially or non-mechanical system), and rules make up a formula. Everything is interlinked because all are part of the same entity. A method should have multiple formulas (but doesn't have to), as this will afford a degree of fluidity that helps to cope with the randomness of the wheel.

Any misunderstanding may come down to a difference of opinion on what we two define as a system. I think you'll agree that some ideas out there are not worthy of being called systems...many are too focused on attacking the wheel and always end up failing. The game should be respected.

So, back to the averages. This group is for studying the law of the third. There are no other laws round here.

The Law is only applicable to short-term intervals of spins (never more than 37). You mentioned averages over many spins, these figures don't mean anything to us because they are synonymous with normal distribution, in which you wouldn't really expect to find anything remarkable. Like I've said, we are only bothered about what happens in 37-spin intervals, very brief cycles of results that produce their own averages and the ones we are looking to exploit.

[hoper35]

This subject is very interesting, Number 6.


Ron.

[Number Six]

Hello Skakus,

Everything is based on betting straight up, as the law of the third is derived from the short-term distribution of the pleins. We should always bear in mind that the law manifests most strongly among the single numbers, so betting on anything else may scupper our chances of exploiting the averages.

I've looked at making conventional systems for the splits, but it was only a fleeting attempt and didn't turn out that well. I've never considered the streets, so I don't really know if an effective system could be made for betting on them. I would say anything below split payouts should be avoided, as the law becomes "weak", but as the group develops maybe we can look at designing a street system.

Regarding the amount of spins to consider (the interval)...that would depend on what you are trying to achieve. Simply put, there is no rule, except that no attack should surpass the endpoint of a 37-spin interval (for single numbers). When you've reached all your goals, you would stop that attack immediately and start tracking again from the very next spin.

The maximum interval is always 37 spins for straight up bets and going by the correlation (discounting the zero) it is 18 spins for splits (in which an average of 12 splits will arrive). The problem is, however, any mechanical system that uses splits can easily get undone if the averages ever go very askew, which they commonly do because the law won't hold up as well for the splits as it does for the spleins. Optimum distribution can be defined as the very moment the method attacks, but we'll never know when this will happen and the conditions are favourable enough so we can only take an educated guess at some averages. An attack should be concluded in good time, so let's say the optimum distribution for splits is somewhere between spin 6 and 14 (giving a median of 10 - 10 spins for tracking and 4 for attacking). For straight up bets, tracking can be over quickly or take as long as necessary to uncover betting opportunities, so the optimum distribution could be anywhere between spins 12 and 32 (giving a median of 22 - so allow a maximum of 22 spins for tracking and 10 for attacking). As a rough guide, optimum distribution should be 50% of the interval's maximum duration. There has to be a point where, if no betting opportunities are revealed, the tracking phase is considered a failure and must be abandoned. It's a messy topic, but I'll try to cover it in another thread for tracking and attacking.

[spiderheinz]

Dear Sir
This law of the third is one of my systems I have tested.  I prefer to stretch the law of the third into the future, because it will happen -only the numbers are changing.  I end my attack when i hit near towards the law(66 % of the numbers hit).  I can play any numbers- from 12 to 35, but the more numbers the greater bankroll needed.  More numbers in play allows higher return per attack.  The main thing is to put a progression in place, so you can stretch out your game up to 50  or even 60 coups, where you should have your law of the third reached.  Papertested one month and reached about 70 000 units.  I do not want to play in online. casinos as the numbers sometimes are very funny.
best, spiderheinz

[Jish]

Papertested one month and reached about 70 000 units.  I do not want to play in online. casinos as the numbers sometimes are very funny.
best, spiderheinz

oh really?

[GARNabby]

...a quick word on: FORMULASUltimately formulas inject substance into attacking tactics.  And when an assault is not advisable or permitted, the formulas will offer natural defence.

Sun Tzu said: He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.

I suppose there separate formulas for biases/"tells", and game theory.  And biases which are quantum-wavish, and therefore extremely-difficult to "get a handle on", if at all; basic to better predicting, given a past outcome(s) and/or overall state(s); and situational, egs, spotting a "flashed card" at the card-tables, or finding a "biased wheel".

As for the "larger picture", can our/any universe exist w/o laws? And hence formulas to make those accessible?  Furthermore, those can neither precede nor follow the rest of the universe's "creation/decreation"... but be engrained therein as to be almost "synonymous" with the things described, and themselves "things" of a sort.

[GARNabby]

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